Chase Lucas got caught in a numbers game. Lucas much more likely than not would have survived the cutdown to 53, if he was up against the roster landscape in previous Lions seasons. I thought Lucas' chances of surviving the cutdown to 53 were 51 %, after his strong performance at Carolina in the pre-season finale. It remains to be seen if CB Emmanuel Mosely will be activated from the PUP List before the Tuesday at 4:00pm deadline for NFL teams to get down to 53 players.
I think there's amount a 45 % chance that Chase Lucas is claimed off waivers by another NFL team. If Lucas clears waivers, I think he will be a Practice Squad priority signing for the Lions.
With the Lions roster at 69 players, 16 more players need to be removed off the roster in order for the Lions to reach 53 players. This will include Nate Sudfeld.